Thursday, May 28, 2009

Intrinsic value for China Telecom (CHA) 2008

Input......
CurrentYear:2008
YearsToBackLooking:5
YearsToForwardLooking:10
SafetyMargin:0.5
52WeeksHigh:65.04
52WeeksLow:25.89
ExpectedROI:0.15
EPSHistory(YearsToBackLooking yrs):3.42,3.46,4.21,2.99,2.67
AvgPriceHistory(YearsToBackLooking yrs):55.81,66.00,38.40,35.54,34.10
DividendHistory(YearsToBackLooking yrs):1.10,0,0,0,0

Output......
Average EPS annual growth rate:8.454224%
Average Price/Eearning Ratio:13.83456
Average dividend: $0.22
Average dividend payout: 6.432749%
Forecasted price in year 2018: $106.5262
future value in year 2018: $109.7828
intrinsic value: $27.13662
safe price by intrinsic value: $13.56831
safe price by yearly high yearly low: $45.465

Note: cannot get complete dividend data.

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