Thursday, May 28, 2009

Intrinsic value for China Petral & Chem (SNP) 2008

Input......
CurrentYear:2008
YearsToBackLooking:5
YearsToForwardLooking:10
SafetyMargin:0.5
52WeeksHigh:114.63
52WeeksLow:46.45
ExpectedROI:0.15
EPSHistory(YearsToBackLooking yrs):4.35,8.55,7.31,5.82,3.01
AvgPriceHistory(YearsToBackLooking yrs):101.39,115.73,69.65,47.03,32.11
DividendHistory(YearsToBackLooking yrs):1.32,0,0,0,0

Output......
Average EPS annual growth rate:21.69928%
Average Price/Eearning Ratio:13.02406
Average dividend: $0.264
Average dividend payout: 6.068966%
Forecasted price in year 2018: $403.7529
future value in year 2018: $411.2067
intrinsic value: $101.644
safe price by intrinsic value: $50.822
safe price by yearly high yearly low: $80.54

Note: cannot get the complete dividend data.

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