Thursday, May 28, 2009

Intrinsic value for JP Morgan (JPM) 2008

Input......
CurrentYear:2008
YearsToBackLooking:6
YearsToForwardLooking:10
SafetyMargin:0.5
52WeeksHigh:50.63
52WeeksLow:14.96
ExpectedROI:0.15
EPSHistory(YearsToBackLooking yrs):1.37,4.38,3.86,2.95,3.01,3.24
AvgPriceHistory(YearsToBackLooking yrs):33.15,48.52,43.15,36.44,37.47,31.25
DividendHistory(YearsToBackLooking yrs):1.52,1.48,1.36,1.36,1.36,1.36

Output......
Average EPS annual growth rate:-6.698924%
Average Price/Eearning Ratio:13.48326
Average dividend: $1.406667
Average dividend payout: 52.2053%
Forecasted price in year 2018: $9.233834
future value in year 2018: $14.57337
intrinsic value: $3.602314
safe price by intrinsic value: $1.801157
safe price by yearly high yearly low: $32.795

No comments: